GBP/USD: Likely to decline towards 1.3000 – UOB Group

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to decline; the major support at 1.3000 is probably out of reach. In the longer run, there has been no further increase in momentum; a breach of 1.3125 would suggest that 1.3000 is out of reach, UOB Group’s FC analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

A breach of 1.3125 might suggest 1.3000 out of reach

24-HOUR VIEW: “Last Friday, we expected GBP to trade in a range between 1.3020 and 1.3100. However, GBP traded in a tight range of 40 pips (1.3042/1.3082), its smallest one-day range since early Sep. Despite the quiet price action, downward momentum seems to be building. Today, provided that GBP remain below 1.3090 with minor resistance at 1.3070, it is likely to decline. However, the major support at 1.3000 is probably out of reach (there is another support level at 1.3025).”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We have held a negative GBP view for more than a week (see annotations in the chart below). After GBP fell to 1.3011 and rebounded, we highlighted last Friday (11 Oct, spot at 1.3060) that ‘despite the decline, there has been no further increase in downward momentum’. We added, only a breach of 1.3125 (‘strong resistance’ level) would suggest that 1.3000 is out of reach this time around. We continue to hold the same view.”